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20120901
20120930
Search Results 0 to 5 of about 6 (some duplicates have been removed)
you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll? there was a hit pi
pollsters. doug schoen is the former advisor to bill clinton. dick morris who was once president clinton's pollster. but he's not a fan of the clintons anymore. but he writes this long piece talking about how the republicans are getting depressed under an after land much of polling that shows president obama ahead but she you shouldn't be because the pollsters are using a variance of the 2008 polling model that he says overstates the likelihood of success. >> it could. the truth is we don't know what the turnouts of democrats and republicans will be. but would i say this. dick it right in so far as most of the media polls are using -- are optimistic for the democratic party. as a professional pollster you try to be as cautious as possible in advising your clients. but most of the polls getting released are giving president obama the benefit of the doubt. megyn: why would they do that? if it says it's -- i don't understand why any pollster would want anything hotter than the most accurate results. >> what accurate is is often open to debate. the dirty little secret of polling is with cell
's ridiculous. >> let me read to you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you make of that? >> you can play lots of games with waiting. vidone it myself. but we have to take these polls as a whole, the polling averages. people ask me, what's the best poll? i always say, none of them. take the polling averages at real clear politics or pollster.com and when you take the averages i don't see what dick is projecting to be reality. maybe that will eventually happen. but it is not there yet. >> steve, larry mentioned this hiewmg gap in women voters -- why? what do you make of that? >> there is always a gender gap. the question is, and i think that dr. sabbato make this is
between her and the obama administration? >> they are using different language. >> okay, dick morris. >> all bets are that she will be gone most say she is done as sifs. susan rice, she is the one who came out. is there a fracture here is there another important question here. regardless of that were the american people lied to? is this an evolution gathering the facts on this and evolving throughout the week or were the american people lied to initially told spontaneous reaction told anti-islam film. >> third whether or not it's a terrorist attack would we provide the same response you would after the coal bombing or would you provide a different response like after september 11th in afghanistan? lt. colonel tony shaffer on what sort of military course we should be taking. listen to his response. >> right now we have got to look at how to get inside this network because clearly here this met work is reestablished itself globally. we have to get these intelligence officers back out there doing hard stuff. a the love the intelligence officers were told sit on their hands and don't do
Search Results 0 to 5 of about 6 (some duplicates have been removed)